Risks and Uncertainties

Talisman is exposed to a number of risks inherent in exploring for, developing and producing crude oil and natural gas. This section describes the risks and other matters that would be most likely to influence an investor’s decision to purchase securities of Talisman.

The process of estimating oil and gas reserves is complex and involves a significant number of decisions and assumptions in evaluating available geological, geophysical, engineering and economic data; therefore, reserves estimates are inherently uncertain. Talisman prepares all of its reserves information internally. The Company may adjust estimates of proved reserves based on production history, results of exploration and development drilling, prevailing oil and gas prices and other factors, many of which are beyond the Company’s control. In addition, there are numerous uncertainties in forecasting the amounts and timing of future production, costs, expenses and the results of exploration and development projects. All estimates are, to some degree, uncertain and classifications of reserves are only attempts to define the degree of uncertainty involved. For these reasons, estimates of the economically recoverable oil and natural gas reserves attributable to any particular group of properties, the classification of such reserves based on risk of recovery and the standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows, prepared by different engineers or by the same engineers at different times, may vary substantially. Talisman’s actual production, taxes and development and operating expenditures with respect to its reserves will likely vary from such estimates, and such variances could be material.

Estimates with respect to reserves that may be developed and produced in the future are often based upon volumetric calculations and upon analogy to similar types of reservoirs, rather than upon actual production history. Estimates based on these methods generally are less reliable than those based on actual production history. Subsequent evaluation of the same reserves based upon production history will result in variations, which may be material, in the estimated reserves.

The Company’s future success depends largely on its ability to find, develop or acquire additional oil and gas reserves that are economically recoverable. Exploration and development drilling may not result in commercially productive reserves. Successful acquisitions require an assessment of a number of factors, many of which are uncertain. These factors include recoverable reserves, exploration potential, future oil and gas prices, operating costs and potential environmental and other liabilities. Such assessments are inexact and their accuracy is inherently uncertain.

The Company’s operations may be adversely affected by changes in governmental policies and legislation or social instability or other political or economic developments which are not within the control of Talisman including, among other things, a change in crude oil or natural gas pricing policy, the risks of war, terrorism, abduction, expropriation, nationalization, renegotiation or nullification of existing concessions and contracts, taxation policies, economic sanctions, the imposition of specific drilling obligations, the development and abandonment of fields, fluctuating exchange rates and currency controls. In addition, both Indonesia and Algeria are members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries ("OPEC"). Talisman’s operations in these countries may therefore be impacted by the application of OPEC production quotas. Indonesia, Algeria, Colombia and Peru have been subject to recent economic or political instability and social unrest, military or rebel hostilities. In addition, Talisman regularly evaluates opportunities worldwide, and may in the future engage in projects or acquire properties in other nations that are experiencing economic or political instability and social unrest or military hostilities or are subject to United Nations or United States sanctions.

Oil and gas drilling and producing operations are subject to many risks including the possibility of fire, explosions, mechanical failure, pipe failure, chemical spills, accidental flows of oil, natural gas or well fluids, sour gas releases, and other occurrences or accidents which could result in personal injury or loss of life, damage or destruction of properties, environmental damage, interruption of business, regulatory investigations and penalties and liability to third parties. The Company has developed a comprehensive health, safety and environment (HSE) management framework to mitigate physical risks. The Company also mitigates insurable risks to protect against significant losses by maintaining a comprehensive insurance program, while maintaining levels and amounts of risk within the Company which management believes to be acceptable. Talisman believes its liability, property and business interruption insurance is appropriate to its business and consistent with common industry practice, although such insurance will not provide coverage in all circumstances.

Talisman's financial performance is highly sensitive to prevailing prices of crude oil and natural gas. Fluctuations in crude oil or natural gas prices could have a material adverse effect on the Company's operations and financial condition, the value of its oil and natural gas reserves, and its level of spending for oil and gas exploration and development. Prices for crude oil and natural gas fluctuate in response to changes in the supply of and demand for crude oil and natural gas, market uncertainty and a variety of additional factors that are largely beyond the Company's control. Oil prices are determined by international supply and demand. Factors which affect crude oil prices include the actions of the OPEC, world economic conditions, government regulation, political stability in the Middle East and elsewhere, the availability of alternative fuel sources and weather conditions. Most natural gas prices realized by Talisman are affected primarily by North American supply and demand, weather conditions and by prices of alternative sources of energy. The development of oil and natural gas discoveries in offshore areas is particularly dependent on the outlook for oil and natural gas prices because of the large amount of capital expenditure required for development prior to commencing production.

A substantial and extended decline in the prices of crude oil or natural gas could result in delay or cancellation of drilling, development or construction programs, or curtailment in production or result in unutilized long-term transportation commitments all of which could have a material adverse impact on the Company. The amount of cost oil required to recover Talisman’s investment and costs in various production sharing contracts is dependent on commodity prices, with higher commodity prices resulting in a lower amount of net after royalty oil and gas reserves booked by the Company.

Talisman conducts an annual assessment of the carrying value of its assets in accordance with Canadian GAAP. If oil and natural gas prices decline, the carrying value of the Company’s assets could be subject to downward revisions, which could adversely affect Talisman’s reported income for the periods in which the revisions are made. However, Talisman believes that estimates of forward-looking prices it uses in its planning process are realistic.

From time to time, Talisman is the subject of litigation arising out of the Company's operations. Damages claimed under such litigation, including the litigation discussed below may be material or may be indeterminate and the outcome of such litigation may materially impact the Company's financial condition or results of operations. While Talisman assesses the merits of each lawsuit and defends itself accordingly, the Company may be required to incur significant expenses or devote significant resources to defend itself against such litigation. These claims are not currently expected to have a material impact on the Company's financial position.

Talisman continues to be subject to a lawsuit brought by the Presbyterian Church of Sudan and others commenced in November 2001 under the Alien Tort Claims Act in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York. The lawsuit, which is seeking class action status, alleges that the Company conspired with, or aided and abetted, the Government of Sudan to commit violations of international law in connection with the Company's now disposed of interest in oil operations in Sudan. In December 2004, Talisman filed a motion for judgement on the pleadings, seeking dismissal of the lawsuit on the grounds that the court lacks subject matter jurisdiction to hear the lawsuit, and filed its opposition papers to the certification of the lawsuit as a class action. No decision is expected on either of these motions prior to the end of March 2005. Talisman believes the lawsuit to be entirely without merit and is continuing to vigorously defend itself and does not expect the lawsuit to have a material adverse effect.

All phases of the oil and natural gas business are subject to environmental regulation pursuant to a variety of laws and regulations in the countries in which Talisman does business. These regulatory regimes are laws of general application that apply to the Company's business in the same manner as they apply to other companies or enterprises in the energy industry. Environmental legislation imposes, among other things, restrictions, liabilities and obligations in connection with the generation, handling, storage, transportation, treatment and disposal of hazardous substances and waste and in connection with spills, releases and emissions of various substances to the environment. Environmental legislation also requires that pipelines, wells, facility sites and other properties associated with Talisman’s operations be operated, maintained, abandoned and reclaimed to the satisfaction of applicable regulatory authorities. Certain types of operations, including exploration and development projects, may require the submission and approval of environmental impact assessments or permit applications. In some cases, exploration and development activities may be precluded or restricted due to designation of areas as environmentally sensitive areas. Compliance with environmental legislation can require significant expenditures and failure to comply with environmental legislation may result in the imposition of fines and penalties and liability for clean up costs and damages. Additionally, the Company's business is subject to the trend toward increased civil liability for environmental matters. Although Talisman currently believes that the costs of complying with environmental legislation and dealing with environmental civil liabilities will not have a material adverse effect on the Company's financial condition or results of operations, there can be no assurance that such costs in the future will not have such an effect. Talisman expects to incur site restoration costs over a prolonged period as existing fields are depleted. The Company provides for future abandonment and reclamation costs in its consolidated financial statements in accordance with Canadian GAAP. Additional information regarding future abandonment and reclamation costs is set forth in the notes to the annual Consolidated Financial Statements.

In 1994, the United Nations' Framework Convention on Climate Change came into force and three years later led to the Kyoto Protocol (the "Protocol"). The Protocol came into force on February 16, 2005 and requires certain nations to reduce their emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. Under the terms of the Protocol, Canada will be required to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 6% below 1990 levels over the period beginning in 2008 and ending in 2012. Currently, Canadian oil and gas producers are in discussions with the provincial and federal levels of government regarding implementation mechanisms for the industry. It is premature to predict what impact implementation could have on Canadian oil and gas producers but it is likely that any mandated reduction in GHG emissions will result in increased costs. The federal government has stated that these costs would not be expected to exceed $15/tonne of carbon dioxide emissions reduced and that producers would not be required to reduce GHG emissions per unit of production by more than 15%. The federal government has also indicated its support for several important principles that are intended to protect the competitiveness of the oil and gas industry beyond 2012, including a 10-year emissions target lock-in period for all new projects and additional flexibility mechanisms for achieving compliance.

The UK has also ratified the Kyoto Protocol, with a reduction commitment of 12.5% below 1990 levels by 2008 - 2012. Talisman’s UK installations will participate in the first phase of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme ("EU ETS"), which runs from 2005 to 2007, inclusive. The UK Government’s revised National Allocation Plan ("NAP") for the first phase of the EU ETS has yet to be approved by the European Commission. The NAP will specify a cap on carbon dioxide emissions for the covered sectors, the methods for allocating emission allowances to covered installations and the number of emission allowances to be allocated to each covered installation. Cost of compliance will vary with a number of factors including the final allocation numbers and liquidity of the carbon markets.

Other companies operate some of the assets in which Talisman has interests. As a result, Talisman may have limited ability to exercise influence over operations of these assets or their associated costs, which could adversely affect the Company’s financial performance. The success and timing of Talisman’s activities on assets operated by others will therefore depend on a number of factors that may be outside of the Company’s control, including the timing and amount of capital expenditures, the operator’s expertise and financial resources, the approval of other participants, the selection of technology and the risk of management practices.

In Canada and the United States, the state or private land owners own oil and gas rights and lease those rights to corporations who are responsible for the development of such rights within the time frames described in the leases. This practice differs distinctly in some foreign countries in which Talisman does or may do business in the future. In those countries, the state often grants interests in large tracts of lands or offshore fields and maintains control over the development of the oil and gas rights, in some cases through equity participation in the exploration and development of the rights. This usually includes the imposition of obligations on Talisman to complete minimum work within specified timeframes. Transfers of interests typically require a state approval, which may delay or otherwise impede transfers. In addition, if a dispute arises in Talisman’s foreign operations, the Company may be subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of foreign arbitration tribunals or foreign courts.

The oil and gas industry, both within Canada and internationally, is highly competitive in all aspects of the business, including the acquisition of properties, the exploration for and development of new sources of supply and the marketing of current production. With respect to the exploration, development and marketing of oil and natural gas, the Company's competitors include major integrated oil and gas companies, numerous other independent oil and gas companies, individual producers and operators and national oil companies. A number of the Company's competitors have financial and other resources substantially in excess of those available to the Company. In addition, oil and gas producers in general compete indirectly against others engaged in supplying alternative forms of energy, fuel and related products to consumers.

Talisman's Consolidated Financial Statements are presented in Canadian dollars. Results of operations are affected primarily by the exchange rates between the Canadian dollar, the United States dollar and United Kingdom pounds sterling. These exchange rates have varied substantially in the last five years. Most of the Company's revenue is received in or is referenced to United States dollar denominated prices, while the majority of Talisman's expenditures are denominated in Canadian dollars, United States dollars and United Kingdom pounds sterling. A change in the relative value of the Canadian dollar against the United States dollar would also result in an increase or decrease in Talisman’s United States dollar denominated debt, as expressed in Canadian dollars and the related interest expense. Talisman is also exposed to fluctuations in other foreign currencies.

The success of Talisman is dependent upon its management and the quality of its personnel. Failure to retain current employees or to attract and retain new employees with the necessary skills could have a materially adverse effect on Talisman’s growth and profitability