The Business Environment

The benchmark WTI crude oil price averaged US$41.40/bbl in 2004, up from US$30.99 in 2003 and US$26.15 in 2002.

Despite current price levels, world oil demand increased by an estimated 2.7 mmbbls/d in 2004, reaching a record high 82 mmbbls/d average for the year. OECD countries only accounted for about one-quarter of the growth, with the majority coming from emerging market economies, in particular China and India.

Non-OPEC production increased by about one mmbbls/d, most of which came from the former Soviet Union and the remainder was supplied by OPEC. As a result, OPEC is running at close to maximum capacity. The lack of surplus crude, combined with political uncertainty in the Middle East and elsewhere, has kept prices at high levels.

NYMEX natural gas prices averaged US$6.09/mmbtu in 2004, compared to US$5.44 in 2003 and US$3.25 in 2002.

Current natural gas prices reflect the inability of US natural gas producers to increase production in recent years. Some estimates show that US natural gas production has fallen by over 5% over the past three years, causing prices to rise to a point where they are rationing demand. US natural gas demand has also fallen by 5%, with most of the decrease occurring in the electrical generation and industrial sectors. In 2004, Canadian natural gas production increased by an estimated 2%.

  The Bleo Holm FPSO at the Ross/Blake fields
  The Bleo Holm FPSO at the Ross/Blake fields

Talisman netbacks averaged $24.45/boe in 2004, up from $22.99 in 2003.

The Canadian dollar strengthened against the US dollar in 2004, gaining approximately 7%. This had the effect of lowering Talisman’s reported netbacks, which are shown in Canadian dollars. Most of Talisman’s liquids and natural gas sales are priced off US$ denominated benchmarks.

Unit operating costs were up 4% overall. Increases in Canada and the North Sea were partly offset by the addition of lower cost production elsewhere. Hedging losses increased to $3.02/boe in 2004. The Company hedged approximately 22% of its 2004 production volumes. However, only 2% of 2005 production is currently hedged. Royalty rates were unchanged at 16%. Detailed information on Talisman’s netbacks can be found in Talisman’s Annual Report Financial Review.

Netbacks
(boe) 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
Sales price (before hedging) 42.75 38.51 32.89 32.90 34.74
Hedging (gain) loss 3.02 1.34 (0.46) (0.06) 2.53
Royalty 7.04 6.18 5.74 6.47 6.29
Transportation 1.20 1.26 1.20
Opex 7.04 6.74 6.06 5.79 5.19
Netback 24.45 22.99 20.35 20.70 20.73
Excludes synthetics